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Sunday, May 22, 2011

Mitch Daniels withdrawal from GOP race is good news for Ron Paul 2012

Politico reports: Indiana Gov. Mitch Daniels told supporters in an email early Sunday that he will not run for president in 2012, a decision he said ultimately came down to his family's reticence about a campaign. (Hat tip: Memeorandum.)

This is good news for Ron Paul, as I think Daniels would have split votes with him from the more conservative wing of the Republican Party, rather than from more liberal northern Republicans like Mitt Romney or Tim Pawlenty. And despite splitting votes from some of the same people as Ron Paul, I don't think Daniels would represent those voters' principles nearly as well as Paul. Several things about him worried me, including his opposition to Right to Work laws as governor of Indiana, and his both puzzling and revealing comment that he'd like to select Condi Rice as a running mate were he to run for president.

If I could have picked anybody to drop out of the race-- in terms of what might produce the best outcome for Ron Paul-- I'd probably have picked Daniels. Bachmann is another potential threat in terms of splitting more conservative votes with Paul than any other candidate, though she hasn't seemed too aggressive in pursuing the nomination so far. I predict that Herman Cain, even though he has Tea Party buzz right now, will lose momentum once voters learn more about his quite anti-Tea Party history of policy positions and endorsements.

Wes Messamore,
Editor in Chief, THL
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