Saturday, January 21, 2012

Newt Gingrich Wins South Carolina with 40%, Romney 28%, Santorum 17%, Ron Paul 13%

Those figures in the title are all from the Associate Press with 99% of precincts reporting in South Carolina. Erick Erickson is saying that Newt's win is an act of rebellion by the base against the establishment's moderate, Northeastern candidate, but if that's true "the base" is seriously missing the point.

If all they want to do is jab a stick in the establishment's eye, then sure, vote against their anointed pick by voting for Newt Gingrich. Their eye will start feeling better soon enough since Gingrich is one of theirs and will suit their purposes just as well as Romney. But if the base actually wants to see the size, role, and influence of the federal government in Washington reigned in and subordinated to the Constitution, then they had better grow up and vote for Ron Paul.

Regardless, Paul's followers shouldn't be too disappointed with tonight's results. I know it sucks to see him come in under third place, but this shouldn't be a huge surprise. As Daniel McCarthy wrote earlier this month at The American Conservative:

'The media, rather than look at the actual record of the S.C. primary, continues to see the word “South” and think of religious-right voters. But South Carolina went for Dole over Buchanan in ’96 and McCain over Huckabee in ’04 ’08 [sic]. It’s the state that put Lindsey Graham in the Senate, after all, and if I’m not mistaken it’s the state with the highest number of political consultants per capita in the country. It has an unusual, highly establishmentarian political culture.'

Sound like the kind of place you'd expect Ron Paul to pull off a big win? Ron Paul is spending big money in important caucus states where he can get a lot of delegates, including Nevada and Minnesota, which will be up soon. The other candidates, other than Mitt Romney, have absolutely no fundraising apparatus they can rely on the way Paul can, they have no organization on the ground, they have no feasible path to the nomination. Only Ron Paul and Mitt Romney do.

This is definitely shaping up to be a two-man race even though the media will distract us with sideshows like a Gingrich, Santorum, or Hunstman (who's now out) "surge." After they've run out of distractions, stay tuned for coverage that paints this as a one-man race for the presumptive nominee, Mitt Romney. But don't be fooled, disheartened, nor discouraged. Keep phone banking, volunteering in your state, and donating whatever you can afford to help Ron Paul win the nomination.

Most importantly, keep phone banking.

Here's Ron Paul's post South Carolina Primary speech:



Hat tip: Daily Paul




Wes Messamore,
Editor in Chief, THL
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