While the Republican base demands a constitutional amendment defining marriage as a union between one man and one woman, the probability of passing such legislation is about zero. The probability that such an amendment would be ratified by 75% of the states is even more remote. It's just not going to happen, not now and not ever. Government at all levels just needs to get out of the marriage business and marriage should be nothing more than a private contract between consenting adults because natural rights include freedom of association and the right to contract.
Just a few years ago, House Republicans were trying to etch their opposition of gay marriage into the Constitution. Now? They’re almost silent. It’s been one of the swiftest shifts in ideology and strategy for Republicans, as they’ve come nearly full circle on same-sex politics. What was once a front-and-center issue for rank-and-file Republicans — the subject of many hotly worded House and Senate floor speeches — is virtually a dead issue, as Republicans in Congress don’t care to have gay marriage litigated in the Capitol. Even more than that, Republican leadership has evolved, too. It has quietly worked behind the scenes to kill amendments that reaffirm opposition to same-sex unions, several sources told POLITICO.
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